Eurovision 2025 odds: Who are the favourites to win after rehearsals?

Joel Grace
May 11
9 min read

After rehearsals and with less than a week to go, who are the latest favourites to win Eurovision 2025?

The closer we get to Eurovision 2025, the more it is shaping up to be a very exciting and unpredictable year! With so many popular novelty-type entries balanced with a high number of jury-vote-stealing ballads, it’s more difficult than ever to predict where the votes will land.

Now that the second rehearsals have been held and we've seen vision of each country's entry, lets take a look at how the odds to win have changed.

But before we deep-dive into the betting odds, it’s always important to consider what gambling is really costing you. Please gamble responsibly and take preventative measures like setting deposit limits. Odds data has been compiled by Eurovisionworld and Sportsbet, and Aussievision has no affiliation with either of these outfits.

Top 10 favourites

With only days before the competition gets underway in Basel, these are the acts the bookies currently have pegged as favourites as of Sunday 11 May.

1. Sweden: Kaj – Bara Bada Bastu

Eurovisionworld: 34% winning chance, 76% top 5 chance, 84% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $2.20 to win, $1.07 top 5 finish, $1.02 top 10 finish

Sweden’s entry Bara Bada Bastu by Kaj has been the standout favourite to win ever since they beat out former Eurovision winner Måns Zelmerlöw with strong public and jury votes at Melodifestivalen. With a catchy pop sound that is worlds apart from the precision pop that Sweden is known for sending to Eurovision, Kaj’s energetic and quirky performance could easily propel them to victory.

2. Austria: JJ – Wasted Love

Eurovisionworld: 23% winning chance, 67% top 5 chance, 79% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $3.40 to win, $1.14 top 5 finish, $1.04 top 10 finish

Austria is currently sitting atop the leaderboard amongst fans in the My Eurovision Scorecard app. JJ’s Wasted Love offers a dramatic and emotional ballad that epitomises modern Eurovision. The song’s captivating melody transition combined with JJ’s soaring vocals make Austria a serious contender. Punters agree post-rehearsals, with Austria significantly firming in the odds to win since we've seen what he'll be bringing to the live stage.

3. France: Louane – Maman

Eurovisionworld: 8% winning chance, 56% top 5 chance, 75% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $13 to win, $1.57 top 5 finish, $1.12 top 10 finish

The last of the 37 songs to be released this year, France’s odds of winning have dramatically improved over the past weeks. Louane’s Maman brings an emotionally charged performance to Eurovision, and her established career in France adds an extra layer of star power.

4. Israel: Yuval Raphael – New Day Will Rise

Eurovisionworld: 5% winning chance, 53% top 5 chance, 73% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $18 to win, $1.53 top 5 finish, $1.14 top 10 finish

With Yuval Raphael’s New Day Will Rise, bookmakers believe that Israel is destined for another top 10 finish. Will this uplifting anthem be able to beat 2024’s 5th place result?

5. Finland: Erika Vikman – Ich Komme

Eurovisionworld: 3% winning chance, 27% top 5 chance, 59% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $21 to win (6th place in Sportsbet odds), $2.88 top 5 finish, $1.36 top 10 finish

Erika Vikman’s Ich Komme brings a fun, quirky energy to Eurovision this year. This song remains a firm fan favourite across the globe, and after a solid rehearsal performance many believe Erika is the one to watch.

6. Netherlands: Claude – C'est la vie

Eurovisionworld: 3% winning chance, 43% top 5 chance, 70% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $26 to win (7th place in Sportsbet odds), $2.20 top 5 finish, $1.28 top 10 finish

Whilst The Netherlands is consistently in the mix for a top 10 finish, a less-than-impressive rehearsal has lead to Claude's chances of winning softening quite a bit. Will the song’s playful sound and popularity amongst fans be enough to surprise audiences and juries alike on the night?

7. Belgium: Red Sebastian – Strobe Lights

Eurovisionworld: 3% winning chance, 12% top 5 chance, 24% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $20 to win, (5th place in Sportsbet odds), $7 top 5 finish, $3.75 top 10 finish

This high-energy, dance-driven number has captivated audiences with unimaginably high notes, with a stellar rehearsal proving that Red Sebastian can emulate his studio track perfectly in a live environment.

8. Czechia: Adonxs – Kiss Kiss Goodbye

Eurovisionworld: 2% winning chance, 15% top 5 chance, 39% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $46 to win, (11th place in Sportsbet odds), $6 top 5 finish, $3.30 top 10 finish

A powerful rehearsal period has elevated Czechia into the Top 10 in the winning odds. This dramatic tune is captivating audiences with a great vocal and attractive staging that is set to wow viewers on the night.

9. Estonia: Tommy Cash – Espresso Macchiato

Eurovisionworld: 2% winning chance, 23% top 5 chance, 58% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $41 to win, (=9th place in Sportsbet odds), $3.60 top 5 finish, $1.50 top 10 finish

Tommy Cash’s Espresso Macchiato is one of the most unconventional entries this year, earning it the title of a dark horse with the potential to snatch victory due to the singer’s wide appeal across Europe.

10. Switzerland: Zoë Më – Voyage

Eurovisionworld: 2% winning chance, 15% top 5 chance, 46% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $36 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $5 top 5 finish, $1.83 top 10 finish

This delicate and stripped-back French ballad certainly makes Switzerland a standout in the competition, and is sure to appeal to voters seeking a reprieve from the many loud and brash entries this year. Switzerland's chances of winning have improved dramatically since rehearsals, jumping up from 17th in the odds to 10th favourite to win.

Eurovisionworld and Sportsbet are mostly aligned on which countries comprise the top 10 in the odds, however Sportsbet propels Malta’s Miriana Conte with Serving into equal 9th place and $41 to win, bumping Czechia out of the top 10.

How does Australia fare?

Shortly after Go-Jo released Milkshake Man, Australia surged as high as 7th in the odds to win Eurovision 2025.

Since then our chances have softened considerably – Eurovisionworld currently has us sitting in 19th position with a 1% chance of victory, a 4% chance of a top 5 finish and a 16% chance of a top 10 finish. Sportsbet is more positive at our chances, putting Milkshake Man in 12th place and offering odds of 51/1, $26 for a top 5 finish and $5 for a top 10 finish.

What about the countries outside the top 10?

Here are the odds for those countries making up the rest of the field:

11. Malta: Miriana Conte - Serving

Eurovisionworld: 2% winning chance, 13% top 5 chance, 44% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $41 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $8 top 5 finish, $1.91 top 10 finish

12. Albania: Shkodra Elektronike - Zjerm

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 14% top 5 chance, 49% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $56 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $5.50 top 5 finish, $1.67 top 10 finish

13. Cyprus: Theo Evan - Shh

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 12% top 5 chance, 19% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $91 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $17 top 5 finish, $5.50 top 10 finish

14. UK: Remember Monday - What The Hell Just Happened?

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 6% top 5 chance, 17% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $76 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $14 top 5 finish, $5 top 10 finish

15. Ukraine: Ziferblat - Bird of Pray

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 12% top 5 chance, 52% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $151 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $8 top 5 finish, $1.67 top 10 finish

16. Italy: Lucio Corsi - Volevo essere un duro

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 6% top 5 chance, 26% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $101 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $21 top 5 finish, $3.30 top 10 finish

17. Spain: Melody - Esa diva

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 4% top 5 chance, 13% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $151 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $8 top 10 finish

18. Germany: Abor & Tynna - Baller

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 6% top 5 chance, 24% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $151 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $12 top 5 finish, $3.75 top 10 finish

19. Australia: Go-Jo - Milkshake Man

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 4% top 5 chance, 16% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $51 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $5 top 10 finish

20. Ireland: Emmy - Laika Party

Eurovisionworld: 1% winning chance, 3% top 5 chance, 7% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $101 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $8 top 10 finish

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21. Greece: Klavdia - Asteromata

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 5% top 5 chance, 17% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $176 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $17 top 5 finish, $6 top 10 finish

22. Norway: Kyle Alessandro - Lighter

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 3% top 5 chance, 13% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $201 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $51 top 5 finish, $8 top 10 finish

23. San Marino: Gabry Ponte - Tutta l'Italia

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 3% top 5 chance, 7% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $176 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $18 top 10 finish

24. Lithuania: Katarsis - Tavo akys

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 5% top 5 chance, 18% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $201 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $19 top 5 finish, $5 top 10 finish

25. Poland: Justyna Steczkowska - Gaja

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 4% top 5 chance, 16% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $251 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $4.50 top 10 finish

26. Slovenia: Klemen - How Much Time Do We Have Left

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 3% top 5 chance, 9% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $201 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $41 top 5 finish, $12 top 10 finish

27. Denmark: Sissal - Hallucination

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 3% top 5 chance, 6% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $201 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $15 top 10 finish

28. Azerbaijan: Mamagama - Run With U

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 2% top 5 chance, 6% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $151 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $14 top 10 finish

29. Latvia: Tautumeitas - Bur man laimi

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 2% top 5 chance, 5% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $251 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $41 top 5 finish, $21 top 10 finish

30. Armenia: Parg - Survivor

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 1% top 5 chance, 4% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $251 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $15 top 10 finish

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31. Serbia: Princ - Mila

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 2% top 5 chance, 6% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $301 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $14 top 10 finish

32. Luxembourg: Laura Thorn - La poupée monte le son

Eurovisionworld: >1% winning chance, 2% top 5 chance, 7% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $251 to win, (8th place in Sportsbet odds), $26 top 5 finish, $15 top 10 finish

33. Portugal: Napa - Deslocado