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Eurojury - how accurate have the results been?

  • Writer: aussievision
    aussievision
  • May 6
  • 8 min read

Written by Dale Roberts, updated by Liv Webster 05/05/2026



The Eurojury is an annual competition held by fan site Eurovoix that sees artists, musicians, and songwriters vote on the Eurovision songs competing that year.


This is the unique element of Eurojury, and although it only makes up 50% of the vote of their competition, we wanted to look at how the musical expert votes match up to the jury results at Eurovision itself.


Below we go through each year's results from 2024 back to 2017 (Eurojury did not run in 2025), and see how the professional jury results stacked up in comparison to the Eurovision juries.



2024


Eurojury result (Eurovision jury result in bracket)



1. France (2nd)

2. Italy (4th)

3. Switzerland (1st)

4. Belgium (NQ)

5. Germany (10th)

6. Croatia (3rd)

7. Israel (12th)

8. Greece (14th)

9. Armenia (9th)

10. United Kingdom (13th)


This was a fairly accurate edition of Eurojury with three of those in the top five (60%) of Eurojury finishing that high in Malmö.


The top 10 record was solid, with a 60% strike rate and three (Israel, United Kingdom and Greece) finishing just outside in the low teens.


Some unexpected good picks


As expected, France did incredibly well with both juries and was a great pick up by Eurojury as a lot of additional momentum was gained during rehearsal week, after the results were already posted!


Armenia was a great pick - placing 9th with both Eurojury and the eventual Eurovision juries, a song that wasn't necessarily earmarked by fans to do that well with the juries.


Who did they miss?


Ireland was one of the biggest success stories of 2024 and was only 21st with Eurojury but romped home to a strong 6th with the Eurovision juries.


Portugal finished 22nd with the Eurojury but finished 7th with the juries.


Sweden finished 18th with the Eurojury but finished 8th with the juries.


Luxembourg finished 29th with the Eurojury but finished 11th with the juries.


Not a complete miss but Switzerland won the juries at the Contest by a whopping 147 points, a dominant victory which was a little underappreciated by Eurojury in third place.


Who did they overinflate?


Belgium made the top 5 of Eurojury but failed to qualify for the final, placing just 13th in semi-final 2 - this can be somewhat forgiven with the 100% televote semi-final rules, but quality (even if it's jury bait) will typically still make it out of a semi-final.


Norway finished 12th with the Eurojury but finished 23rd with the juries.


Denmark finished 11th with the Eurojury but failed to qualify for the final.



2023


Eurojury result (Eurovision jury result in bracket)



1. Sweden (1st)

2. France (16th)

3. Italy (3rd)

4. United Kingdom (22nd)

5. Norway (17th)

6. Spain (9th)

7. Switzerland (14th)

8. Belgium (7th)

9. Cyprus (13th)

10. Finland (4th)


This was one of the less accurate editions of Eurojury with two of those in the top five (40%) of Eurojury finishing that high in Liverpool.


The top 10 record wasn't the strongest, with a 50% strike rate and four (France, United Kingdom, Norway) being quite far off the mark.


Some unexpected good picks


Perhaps not unexpected - Loreen went on to win both Eurojury and the Eurovision juries, however, Eurojury correctly predicted that it would be a huge landslide in a similar fashion to what we saw in Liverpool.


Belgium was one of the biggest glow-up stories of Eurovision 2023. Importantly, though, before momentum at rehearsals was gained Eurojury correctly predicted that it would place in the top 10.


Switzerland was considered a probable NQ, particularly in a 100% televote semi-final, but was recognised by Eurojury in 7th place and went on a modest 14th at Eurovision.


Who did they miss?


Israel finished 12th with the Eurojury but finished 2nd with the juries.


Estonia finished 23rd with the Eurojury but finished 5th with the juries.


Australia finished 20th with the Eurojury but finished 6th with the juries.


Who did they overinflate?


France finished 2nd with the Eurojury but finished 16th with the juries.


United Kingdom finished 4th with the Eurojury but finished 22nd with the juries.


Norway finished 5th with the Eurojury but finished 17th with the juries.


Netherlands finished 13th with the Eurojury but failed to qualify for the final.



2022




Eurojury result (Eurovision jury result in bracket)


1. United Kingdom (1st)

2. Italy (7th)

3. Sweden (2nd)

4. Ukraine (4th)

5. Spain (3rd)

6. Australia (9th)

7. Belgium (13th)

8. Finland (22nd)

9. Netherlands (8th)

10. Switzerland (12th)


This was a particularly accurate Eurojury with the UK winning the Eurojury and the Jury vote at Eurovision.


And on top of that, four of those in the top five (80%) of Eurojury finished that high in Turin.


The top 10 record was solid, with a 70% strike rate and two (Switzerland and Belgium) both finishing just outside. Finland, however, was quite far off the mark.


Some unexpected good picks


Apart from picking the winner, both Ukraine and Spain weren't necessarily expected to go top five with the juries, so this was a great indication from the Eurojury.


Belgium and Switzerland were somewhat surprising qualifiers, but their solid jury scores saw them safely through, as predicted by the Eurojury.


Poland had been tipped to do extremely well with the juries, however, the 20th place in the Eurojury did have some wondering. He came a solid 14th with the experts on the night, but not as high as many were anticipating.


Serbia (19th with Eurojury) and Moldova (29th with Eurojury) didn't do particularly well in the juries in Turin (11th and 20th respectively) which was somewhat picked up by Eurojury.


Who did they miss?


Portugal finished 16th with the Eurojury but finished 5th with the juries.


Greece finished 12th with the Eurojury but finished 6th with the juries.


Azerbaijan finished 22nd with the Eurojury but finished 10th with the juries.


Lithuania finished 35th with the Eurojury but finished 18th with the juries.


Who did they overinflate?


Even though Italy still finished 7th with the juries, it was a long way off the 2nd place Eurojury predicted.


Finland finished 8th with Eurojury but placed 22nd on the night.


France finished 13th with Eurojury but placed 24th in Turin with the juries.


Latvia in 14th and Israel in 18th with the Eurojuries, did not qualify for the final in Turin.



2021



Eurojury result (Eurovision jury result in bracket)


1. Malta (3rd)

2. Switzerland (1st)

3. France (2nd)

4. Israel (12th)

5. Iceland (5th)

6. Italy (4th)

7. Sweden (17th)

8. Cyprus (16th)

9. Bulgaria (6th)

10. Romania (NQ)


This was another rather accurate Eurojury with four of those in the top five (80%) of Eurojury finishing that high in Rotterdam.


And although it didn't accurately predict the winner, it also had the exact same top three as the jury at Eurovision.


However, the top 10 record was less impressive, with only a 60% strike rate and some over inflation of how Sweden, Cyprus and Romania would do.


Some unexpected good picks



Although Israel was a little hyped in 4th, it was still a good sign it would do well with juries as it was outside the odds of qualifying for the Grand Final at that stage.

Additionally, Portugal was given little hope of qualifying before Rotterdam, but signs were there of a good jury score when it finished 13th with the Eurojury (they finished 7th with the juries at Eurovision).


Who did they miss?


Russia finished 29th with the Eurojury but finished 8th with the juries.


Ukraine finished 18th with the Eurojury but finished 9th with the juries.


Greece finished 22nd with the Eurojury but finished 10th with the juries.


Who did they overinflate?


Romania made the Top 10 with the Eurojury but did not qualify for the Grand Final.


The UK finished 12th in the Eurojury last year but infamously received nil points to finish in 26th and last.


Germany was 14th with the Eurojury but would go on to finish 25th with the juries.



2019



Eurojury result (Eurovision jury result in bracket)


1. Sweden (2nd)

2. The Netherlands (3rd)

3. Italy (4th)

4. Switzerland (7th)

5. Greece (14th)

6. Armenia (NQ)

7. Russia (9th)

8. United Kingdom (24th)

9. France (13th)

10. Azerbaijan (5th)


A 60% strike for the top five from the Eurojury but the top three picks were still impressive. If you remove the wildcard that was North Macedonia, the top three were in the exact order they finished with the juries at Eurovision.


It was also a 60% strike for the top 10 and for the second straight year we had a non-qualifier within there.


Some unexpected good picks


The Eurojury did accurately represent how some televote favourites would struggle with the jury.


Iceland, who were high in the odds of winning Eurovision, finished 18th with the Eurojury and 16th on the night in Tel Aviv with the juries.


Norway, who won the televote, were put 16th with the Eurojury and would finish in 18th with the music experts at Eurovision.


A couple of other decent picks were, Denmark finished 14th with the Eurojury and went on to finish a surprising 12th with the juries at Eurovision.


Also France finished 13th with the juries at Eurovision, so the Eurojury placing him 9th wasn't too far off. For a song many felt may not work with the juries, this showed it could.


Who did they miss?


North Macedonia. Well we all missed that right? The Eurojury did place North Macedonia in a respectable 17th place, but were way off the mark with their jury win in Tel Aviv.


Australia was placed a lowly 29th with the Eurojury but would finish 6th with the juries thanks to that epic performance at Eurovision.


Who did they overinflate?



Armenia was ranked a very high 6th with the Eurojury but failed to qualify.


The United Kingdom was placed 8th with the Eurojury but finished 24th.


Belgium was also placed 15th with the Eurojury and failed to qualify.



2018



Eurojury result (Eurovision jury result in bracket)


1. Israel (3rd)

2. Czech Republic (15th)

3. Sweden (2nd)

4. Austria (1st)

5. Australia (12th)

6. Switzerland (NQ)

7. Norway (16th)

8. Germany (4th)

9. Bulgaria (9th)

10. Cyprus (5th)


Well another pair of 60% strike rates for both the top five and the top 10, but again there are some impressive gets.


Austria was not expected to be a jury winner and although the Eurojury didn't predict that, they placed him an impressive 4th place.


On the downside there was once again a non-qualifier in the Eurojury's top 10.


Some unexpected good picks


Other than the Austria pick, the Eurojury also gave a sign of what was to come from Cyprus.


Fuego was given little chance of doing well ahead of Lisbon, however a 10th place with the Eurojury was a sign of things to come.


The Eurojury placed Italy in 17th which is where it came on the night.


The United Kingdom was not over inflated this year, placed 26th with the Eurojury, it finished 23rd in Lisbon with the juries.


Who did they miss?


Where do we begin...



Moldova finished 41st with the Eurojury but finished 10th with the juries at Eurovision.


Albania finished 30th with the Eurojury but finished 7th with the juries at Eurovision.


Estonia finished 14th with the Eurojury but finished 6th with the juries at Eurovision.


France finished 16th with the Eurojury but finished 8th with the juries at Eurovision


Also Ireland (24th -> 14th) and Lithuania (28th -> 11th).


Who did they overinflate?


Sadly, Australia. 5th with the Eurojury, Jessica still finished a credible 12th with the juries, but this was still a big difference.


Czech Republic was 2nd with the Eurojury but a surprising 15th with the juries in Lisbon (the public loved Mikolas though).


Switzerland was a non-qualifier after finishing 6th with the Eurojury.


Belgium (11th) and Belarus (13th) also failed to qualify.



Summary


Like most competitions or predictions before the Contest, it's a mixed bag of success.


On the plus side we have these results:


Out of the 30 songs that made the top five of the jury vote at Eurovision, 24 of them featured in the top 10 of Eurojury from 2018 to 2024.


Songs like Nobody Like You in 2018 and Love is On My Side in 2021 were good pick ups by the Eurojury.


You have an overinflation of many songs including three non-qualifiers making the top 10 of Eurojury plus songs like Embers and I Don't Feel Hate in 2021, Bigger Than Us in 2019, Évidemment and I Wrote a Song in 2023 doing well but flopping hard at Eurovision.


You can forgive misses like Proud and Zero Gravity in 2019 but missing basically half the field in 2018 is worrying.


So overall, it is definitely worth paying attention to but until you put a layer of staging and a live performance over a song, the only guarantee is that there will be some surprising results.


For continued updates on all Eurovision Song Contest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, TikTok, YouTube and Instagram. All the links can be found at: https://linktr.ee/aussievisionnet



 
 
 

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