Eurovision 2026: Who do the odds predict will win?

The Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Grand Final is imminent, and with so much speculation regarding who will take out the battle for the crystal microphone we take one last look at the odds.

These odds come from the European markets.

Who will win the Eurovision Song Contest 2026?

2 (41%) Finland

3.75 (22%) Australia

13 (7%) Greece

13 (6%) Israel

13 (5%) Romania

26 (3%) Bulgaria

23 (3%) Denmark

34 (2%) Italy

51 (2%) France

41 (1%) Malta

81 (1%) Czechia

101 (1%) Moldova

101 (1%) Ukraine

101 (1%) Sweden

101 (1%) Croatia

126 (1%) Albania

151 (1%) Cyprus

151 (< 1%) Norway

251 (<1%) Poland

301 (<1%) Serbia

251 (<1%) United Kingdom

401 (<1%) Lithuania

401 (<1%) Germany

401 (<1%) Belgium

501 (<1%) Austria

(Odds at 16 May 2026)

Currently Finland is the favourite followed by Australia and Greece. Israel and Romania are not far behind with Bulgaria the big mover. Denmark, Italy and France have all dropped. Malta and Czechia are behind those with a big drop to Moldova, Ukraine, Sweden and Croatia. Albania and Cyprus follow them and the rest have been given a <1% chance of winning.

From this we can conclude that Finland is the outright favourite with Australia and Greece being the biggest challengers, However Israel, Romania and Bulgaria have the potential of causing an upset victory.

All odds courtesy of: https://eurovisionworld.com/

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