Eurovision 2026 odds: Who are the favourites to win after rehearsals?

After rehearsals and with less than a week to go, who are the latest favourites to win Eurovision 2026?

The closer we get to Eurovision 2026, the more it is shaping up to be a very exciting! With so many popular entries balanced with a high number of jury-vote-stealing ballads, it’s more difficult than ever to predict where the votes will land.

Now that the second rehearsals have been held and we've seen snippets of each country's entry, let's take a look at how the odds to win have changed.

But before we deep-dive into the betting odds, it’s always important to consider what gambling is really costing you. Please gamble responsibly and take preventative measures like setting deposit limits. Odds data has been compiled by Eurovisionworld and Sportsbet, and Aussievision has no affiliation with either of these outfits.

Top 10 favourites

With only days before the competition gets underway in Vienna, these are the acts the bookies currently have pegged as favourites as of Sunday 10 May 2026.

1. Finland: Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen – Liekinheitin

Eurovisionworld: 36% winning chance, 71% top 5 chance, 84% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $2.10 to win, $1.12 top 5 finish, $1.03 top 10 finish

2. Greece: Akylas – Ferto

Eurovisionworld: 13% winning chance, 58% top 5 chance, 73% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $6.50 to win, $1.40 top 5 finish, $1.20 top 10 finish

3. Denmark: Søren Torpegaard Lund - Før vi går hjem

Eurovisionworld: 11% winning chance, 48% top 5 chance, 72% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $6.50 to win, $1.72 top 5 finish, $1.20 top 10 finish

4. France: Monroe – Regarde !

Eurovisionworld: 7% winning chance, 45% top 5 chance, 70% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $9 to win, $1.72 top 5 finish, $1.22 top 10 finish

5. Australia: Delta Goodrem – Eclipse

Eurovisionworld: 6% winning chance, 46% top 5 chance, 69% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $12.00 to win, $2 top 5 finish, $1.25 top 10 finish

6. Israel: Noam Bettan – Michelle

Eurovisionworld: 4% winning chance, 47% top 5 chance, 74% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $19 to win, $1.72 top 5 finish, $1.20 top 10 finish

7. Italy: Sal Da Vinci – Per Sempre Sì

Eurovisionworld: 3% winning chance, 28% top 5 chance, 64% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $26 to win, $2.80 top 5 finish, $1.40 top 10 finish

8. Malta: AIDAN - Bella

Eurovisionworld: 3% winning chance, 12% top 5 chance, 32% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $18 to win, $8.50 top 5 finish, $2.75 top 10 finish

9. Romania - Alexandra Căpitănescu - Choke Me

Eurovisionworld: 3% winning chance, 26% top 5 chance, 58% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $26 to win, $3 top 5 finish, $1.50 top 10 finish

10. Sweden - Felicia - My System

Eurovisionworld: 2% winning chance, 22% top 5 chance, 57% top 10 chance

Sportsbet: $36 to win, $3.75 top 5 finish, $1.57 top 10 finish

For now, it seems that Finland is the country most likely to take out the Eurovision 2026 title!

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