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  • Writer's pictureDale Roberts

Could a Eurovision song make Triple J's Hottest 100?

Every year millions of Australians vote in our biggest annual countdown - Triple J's Hottest 100!

For those unfamiliar, Triple J is ABC's official 'youth' radio station and focuses on more alternative music as well as being big promoters of Aussie music.

The annual contest has been going since the early 90s and it's more than safe to say that no Eurovision entry has even got close to making it.

That is, until this year.

The voting always features a 'long list' of artists and songs to vote for. These are handpicked by the Triple J team and include music featured on the station throughout the year.

This year's long list included three names and songs familiar to Eurovision fans:

Montaigne with 'Don't Break Me', Jaguar Jonze with 'Rabbit Hole' and Didirri with 'Raw Stuff'.

These three artists competed at 'Eurovision - Australia Decides' this year with Montaigne winning the event with 'Don't Break Me'.

Additionally these artists were already known to a Triple J audience, Montaigne had previously finished at no.4 in the countdown with Hilltop Hoods and their track '1955' back in 2016. Jaguar Jonze was this year named Triple J's unearthed artist of the year and Didirri has received significant airplay on the station.

So can they make it?

So what are the actual chances they can make it into the Top 100? Well there is some analysis out there to help.

The 100 Warm Tunas is a website that analyses fans public posts about the #Hottest100 and uses their results to predict the final 100. In 2019 they had a 73% strike-rate of the Top 100. Not bad but not definite but certainly and indication.

According to 100 Warm Tunas... two songs are on the cusp of making the list.

  • Jaguar Jonze with 'Rabbit Hole' is at 119

  • Montaigne with 'Don't Break Me' is at 110

Additionally the other analysis worth looking at is... betting companies.

Sportsbet currently have these odds for the Eurovision songs:

Hottest 100 Winner

  • $1501 - Jaguar Jonze 'Rabbit Hole'

  • $1501 - Didirri's 'Raw Stuff'

Have a song in the Top 100

  • $1.30 - Montaigne

  • $1.75 - Jaguar Jonze

So although a win definitely look FAR out of the question, there is a genuine possibility that Jaguar Jonze or Montaigne *could* make the Triple J Hottest 100.

This would be a huge step forward for the credence of Eurovision and specifically 'Eurovision - Australia Decides' among the broader music community in Australia. That could help even more artists sign up for the national final in the future.

The fact that we can even write this article is a huge step forward as well!

You can tune into Triple J's Hottest 100 from 12:00pm (AEDT) on Saturday 23rd of January via

Also if the Eurovision artists miss out on the Top 100 the Top 200 (200 down to 101) will be played on Sunday 24th of January from 10:00am (AEDT).


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